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Welcome to the Football Forecastor, home to Jim "Dirtydog"
Campbell, who is considered one of the nations most prolific sports
handicappers, we specialize in NFL and College Football handicapping
and take sports betting to a whole new level by treating sports
wagering as an investment...take a ride with us on the "Money
Train" today!!
How to bet on NFL Football:
The
NFL has long since supplanted baseball as “America’s sport”
and for good reason when considering NFL and College football teams
play once weekly which in the end lends credence to the saying of
“absence makes the heart grow fonder”, however, in the big
picture one of the predominate reasons for the popularity of
football centers around how easy it is to understand the mechanics
of wagering on football.
Following
are three considerations to ponder when wagering on the NFL that can
help you consistently beat the books:
1)
Do not over analyze last week's performance in terms of a
good outing or a bad outing by any individual team, instead look at
how that team has performed over the previous four or five weeks.
Keep in mind that college football differs from professional
football in the maturity level of the players involved, meaning that
much more value must be assigned to the home team in a college
football game than to a professional team playing at home.
2)
Shop around for the best betting line available to you, this
is especially important in games in which “key numbers” come
into play. Key numbers are called as such because the final margin
of victory often lands on these numbers, for example 3, 7, 10, 13,
and 14 are the most common margin of victory numbers in both college
and professional football. The reason why has to do with the way a
team scores, 3 is a field goal, 7 is a touchdown with a kicked point
after and so forth. Keep in mind that there is big difference in
betting on or against a team taking or laying 2 ½ points versus
taking or laying 3 or 3 ½ points and so on.
3)
Injuries are one of the most over-rated statistics in both
the NFL and college football game, the exception to this is if the
injury is to the starting quarterback or if the current injury is
part of a “cluster injury”, a cluster injury means that a team
is now short two or more starting offensive or defensive linemen or
is now short two or more offensive or defensive backs. Generally
speaking, the betting public over reacts to news of an injury and
quite often this over reaction causes a line move that is totally
unjustified in terms of the importance of the injury versus the
adjustment to the posted point spread, this creates at times a lot
of “value”, look to exploit the line by taking the side with the
injury.
Our goal here at www.footballforecastor.com
is to hit the 60% win mark year in and year out with our NFL and
college football selections, in the big picture few handicappers are
able to achieve this lofty goal on a consistent basis. I shake my
head in wonderment on how they get away with such outrageous claims
when I see the Saturday morning scam-you-cappers on TV or in the
advertisements listed in the USA Today newspaper touting win
percentages of 75% or 80% over the course of a season.
The simple truth is that only the very best handicappers
consistently produce seasonal results that fall within the 55% to
60% range much like we do here at footballforecastor.com year in and
year out, my advise to all clients is to use extreme discipline in
the amount of games you wager on each week, you must also adhere to
good money management techniques in order to get through the peaks
and valleys of a long season.
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