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How
to Bet on College Football
by
Jim Campbell of Footballforecastor.com
College
Football is still considered the king amongst many for wagering
purposes due to the sheer number of games played by the various
teams in the various divisions on a weekly basis, which means that
in truth there
are indeed many more opportunities that can be found in terms of sheer
“value” in College sports over professional sports, however,
most do not understand that while wagering on College football is
almost identical to wagering on the NFL, the handicapping
principles involved are totally different, below
you will find some solid advice from Jim Campbell which has
greatly contributed to his achieving a
total combined average winning rate of 59.88%
in all sports over the past EIGHT years.
1)
Use discipline in the number of games you wager on weekly,
you must have a sound money management game plan in place which
from the outside looking in, is based on a wagering concept of
“units per game”, but on the inside is really based on
percentage of bankroll. I recommend NEVER
wagering more than 5% of your total bankroll on any given game and
no more than 25% of your total bankroll on any given weekend. Most
wagers should fall within the 2% or 3% range, you can then either
use a “flat betting” system in which you wager the same amount
on each game or use a “best bet” format in which you rate your
games highest to lowest and assign your betting percentages
accordingly.
2)
Most novices or beginning gamblers should use a flat
betting system based on percentage of bankroll for the best
long-term results, for example, if your starting bankroll is $5000
then a 2% wager on a contest would be $100, meanwhile a 3% wager
from the same $5000 starting bankroll would be a $150 wager. A
flat bettor would then wager either $100 or $150 on each contest
but not exceed the 25% of total bankroll mark of $1250 (based on
the same starting bankroll of $5000) over the course of the week.
Once the weekend results are finalized you would then have a
different bankroll total based on your winnings or loses for the
week, this becomes your new bankroll, the next week you would then
adjust upward or downward the amounts wagered on a per game basis
based on your new “percentage of bankroll” numbers. Remember
that everyone will have their share of good weeks and everyone
will have their share of bad weeks, the idea is to not place all
of your eggs in one basket, you must be able to survive the bad
weeks if you want to come out ahead in the long term.
3)
A good strategy to follow is to focus in on the local teams
in your neck of the woods, the reasoning is simplistic in that in
most cases a gambler first started as a fan, meaning that in
general terms no one knows the local teams better than a local fan
which in this case is YOU, however, you must be careful not to bet
with your heart and instead use your head, for example, although I
advocate using off-shore sports books as a means of having
multiple outs for the purpose of “line-shopping”, I also
advocate using a local book when placing a wager against a local
team, the reason is based on line “value”, in many cases a
local line on a local team can vary by as many as one or two
points, mainly because of the fact that the vast majority of local
fans wager on local teams which in turn means that a local line is
often different that a national line on the very same game.
One
of the nations most prolific handicappers is Jim Campbell who can
be found at www.footballforecastor.com,
he once again showed his expertise by finishing the 2005-2006
college football season with an overall amazing and eye opening
mark of 49-32-1 ATS for a winning rate of 60.49%
which includes a record of 9-4 ATS with his College Bowl
selections and also includes his winning selection of Texas over
USC in the BCS National Championship Game, that winning result on
Texas means that Jim Campbell has now correctly picked the point
spread winner in the past EIGHT straight College
National Championship games.
Our goal here at www.footballforecastor.com
is to hit the 60% win mark year in and year out with our NFL and
college football selections, in the big picture few handicappers
are able to achieve this lofty goal on a consistent basis. I shake
my head in wonderment on how they get away with such outrageous
claims when I see the Saturday morning scam-you-cappers on TV or
in the advertisements listed in the USA Today newspaper touting
win percentages of 75% or 80% over the course of a season.
The simple truth is that the
very best handicappers consistently produce seasonal results that
fall within the 55% to 60% range much like we do here at
footballforecastor.com year in and year out, my advise to all new
clients is to use extreme discipline in the amount of games you
wager on each week, you must also adhere to good money management
techniques in order to get through the peaks and valleys of a long
season.
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